Jon Gruden has come out on multiple occasions and said his defense is lacking an adequate pass rush and it has held them back. Despite signing Carl Nassib, drafting Clelin Ferrell, Maxx Crosby, and Pj Hall, Arden Key, Maurice Hurst, Quinton Bell, and Malcolm Koonce in four seasons the pass rush simply hasn't gotten off the ground. However they got an influx of veterans this offseason adding Yannick Ngakue, Darius Philon, Soloman Thomas, Quinton Jefferson, and Matt Dickerson. They moved on from Maurice Hurst, Arden Key, Takk McKinley, Vic Beasley, David Irving, Maliek Collins, Chris Smith and Jeremiah Valoaga. Leaving significant snaps available for the newcomers. The starting lineup is expected to be Maxx Crosby, Jonathan Hankins, Soloman Thomas, and Yannick Ngakue with Carl Nassib, and Clelin Ferrell serving as rotational rushers who can play inside or outside at end. In fact Ferrell notched both his sacks last season rushing from the interior leading me to believe they will use him there more often. Nassib also had a down year and likely just needs more playing time to make a larger impact. The Raiders are hoping Crosby who has managed 17 sacks the past 2 years total and Ngakue who has 16 total over the past 2 years can jump start this pass rush. The interior of the defensive line should prove to be pretty solid as well thanks to the move to bring back Hankins.
Jonathan Hankins is essentially the nose tackle for the Raiders even though they primarily run a 4-3 front Hankins is a space eater at 6'3 340, and is returning to the Raiders for his 4th season with the team. Despite his size Hankins still provides some pressure and actually has a 7 sack season on his resume however that was way back in 2015 his second season and he has produced 7.5 sacks the rest of his career. There will be a lot of competition for the starting role next to him. The guy penciled in as a starter now is Quinton Jefferson. Jefferson is headed into his 6th season having spent 2020 in Buffalo. He has racked up 3 sacks each season for the last 3 years in a row showing some upside as a pass rusher. He will compete with Solomon Thomas who was signed away from the 49ers. Thomas was asked to play as a 3-4 end in San Francisco but will shift inside to tackle in a 4-3 front which I believe will benefit him. he should wind up being their 3rd down pass rusher, maybe he replaces Hankins on passing downs going forward but I do not see him starting in 2021. The wild card here is Gerald McCoy. McCoy is one of the most dominant defensive tackles in the league when healthy. However after signing with Dallas in 2020 he suffered a season ending injury which caused his release. He spent the 2020 season rehabbing on his own. If he is healthy he starts next to Hankins without a doubt this is a man who had an 8 year stretch with no less than 5 sacks a year as a tackle. He wreaks havoc on opposing offenses and should be able to do the same after a year to get his body right. The Raiders could quickly have a very deep and talented rotation if McCoy is healthy, and Thomas transitions to tackle well.
At linebacker they overhauled all 3 positions just last offseason. They finally handed a starting job to Nicholas Morrow. Morrow had been a backup on the team for 3 years starting only due to injuries bit still playing often enough to rack up 161 tackles, 1 sack, 11 passes deflected, 1 interception, and 1 forced fumble. The former college safety has also now played and started at all three positions. Morrow will be joined by two coveted 2020 free agents in Cory Littleton, and Nick Kwiatkoski. Both of these guys began their careers as special teams players before earning time on the field due to solid and versatile play. Littleton had played his way into a starting role after 2 seasons as a backup for the Rams. He has experience in a 3-4 and a 4-3 front but played inside primarily, he moved to weakside with the Raiders. He quickly rewarded the Rams for starting him and racked up 259 tackles, 7.5 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, 4 recoveries, 5 interceptions, 96 return yards, 1 td, and 22 pass deflections. You can see why he was sought after as a free agent. However he had a rather quiet 2020. He missed 2 games starting 14, putting up 82 tackles. No sacks, ints, fumbles, or pass deflections the plays that made him so valuable. The Raiders are hoping he bounces back in year 2. Kwiatkoski is a guy whose career began very similarly to Morrow. He was always the 4th best linebacker on a team that started only 3. Despite this in 4 seasons with Chicago he earned 21 starts out of 57 games he was active for. He managed 184 tackles, 13 for a loss, 6 sacks, 4 forced fumbles, 1 interception, 8 passes deflected. It was widely expected that when he got a chance to start his statistics would reflect that, and they did. He notched a career high 12 starts, 82 tackles, 1 interception, 1 forced fumble, 1 sack, 3 tackles for a loss, and 4 deflected passes. Another full season as a starter will only benefit him going forward. This is a solid unit with depth as well. Tanner Muse is another former safety drafted in round 3 last year. Unfortunately he missed all of last season with injury. They spent a 3rd round pick on former safety Devine Deablo who stands 6'3 226 lbs and is moving to weakside linebacker with the Raiders however I still expect his role to mirror most safeties spending a lot of time covering backs, and tight ends. Darron Lee another former college safety and first round pick of the Jets is also on the roster to compete. He is on his 4th team in as many years and has failed to live up to expectations. However he is still athletic, and talented and has every chance to earn a roster spot. Javin White is a former undrafted free agent who you guessed it played safety in college! Ironically he moved there after playing wide receiver in high school. As you might imagine this translated into solid coverage ability that led to 9 interceptions in college. He bounced on and off the roster and practice squad in 2020 but hopes to stick this year. He will compete with career practice squad player Gerri Green who has never been on an active roster yet has had 5 stints with NFL teams. Asmar Bilal signed a futures deal after spending most of 2020 with the Chargers practice squad. He is one of the few true linebackers on this team and has played the position since high school.
The Raiders have also invested heavily in the secondary in recent years. This has provided them with solid depth at safety. 2019 first round pick Jonathan Abram is the starter at strong safety. After an injury as a rookie, he came back in 2020 and wound up graded as the second worst safety in the league by PFF. He is known for being an in the box safety and a punishing hitter, but his coverage is what became a liability last year. This sounds like a scheme thing, and the team just needs to find ways to better use him. Also in 2019 the team spent a 2nd round pick on CB Trayvon Mullen, the former Clemson player has ideal size at 6'2 200 lbs, and speed 4.42 40 to be a number 1 corner on a team in the NFL, and his play so far has backed that up. He has 111 tackles, 24 deflected passes, and 3 interceptions in 32 starts. In round 4 they selected Isaiah Johnson. They also signed undrafted corner Keisean Nixon in 2019 who has developed into a solid contributor on special teams. In 2020 they drafted Damon Arnette in the first round, and Amik Robertson in the 4th round. Arnette slid in as the starting CB opposite Mullen, and Robertson competed as the nickelback. Annette played in 9 games starting 7 games but didn't play up to expectations. He had 25 tackles, 2 passes deflected, 1 tackle for a loss. Robertson however played in 8 games but mostly as a depth piece. Nevin Lawson signed as a free agent in 2019 won the nickelback position again in 2020. In 2021 the Raiders added four more rookie DB's. In round 2 they selected free safety Trevon Moehrig who is expected to start next to Abram. In round 4 they selected Tyree Gilliespie a safety. Regarded by most as a good value in round 4 he adds depth behind Moehrig, Abram, and Joesph. In round 5 they decided to add another cornerback, Nate Hobbs from Illinois, he stands 6'0 195 lbs. He stated at his press conference that he was "the best underdog they've ever drafted." Word out of Raiders camp is he has backed up his tough talk. Also brought in was undrafted safety Shaun Crawford who played for Notre Dame for four years starting 21 of 38 games. He is undersized at 5'9 182 lbs and could play cornerback as well but is listed at and played free safety in college. In free agency they signed Casey Hayward away from the Chargers and he has been starting ahead of Arnette. Also signed was Rasul Douglas, Karl Joesph, Devaunte Bausby, Blidi Breh-Wilson, and Roderic Teamer. There is tremendous depth at cornerback right now and safety isn't lacking in depth either. I believe Gus Bradley is going to create a defense with the talent at hand that leads to a top ten ranking in 2021.
If, and that's a big if, they back up my high expectations we are looking at a 10-11 win team. Their offense is simply too talented not to win games if the defense can create more of a pass rush which will inevitably lead to more 3 and outs, or turnovers.
On offense their quarterback position is honestly pretty stacked. At QB1 we have Derek Carr. What can I say about Carr? Here I got it...if Mahomes is a brand new Bentley, Carr is like a 2010 Mercedes, still performs well but not to his elite standards. He is cheaper, less reliable, but easier to replace. Carr is in his 8th season all with the Raiders after being selected in the second round. Despite throwing the ball 513 times or more in every season he has dipped below 61% completion rate just once...as a rookie. He has missed just 2 games in 7 seasons, produced 5 seasons with 3,900 passing yards or more, has a 2.5:1 td to int ratio, and has shown some escapability as well. However he always seems one bad game away from being replaced by Marcus Mariota. Another qb that suffered a similar fate himself in Tennessee thanks to Ryan Tannehill. Mariota is still just 27 years old heading into his 7th season. He is extremely mobile as evidenced by his one appearance last season where he ran 9 times for 88 yards. He has 13,433 passing yards 77 tds, to just 45 ints, and has added 251 carries 1,487 yards 12 tds, 2 receptions for 62 yards and 1 td. For some reason the world may never know Nathan Peterman is their third string qb. He has held this role for three seasons now despite holding a career completion rate of barely over 50%, 3 td passes to 12 ints, and only mild upside as a runner. However these are the only three quarterbacks on roster so I expect all three to remain there.
At running back a team that already had solid depth with Josh Jacobs, Theo Riddick and Jalen Richard on the roster went out and signed Kenyan Drake to serve as their running back 1b. Maybe they knew Riddick's injuries were getting to him because he wound up retiring shortly after camp began. After that news broke the Raiders also brought in Bo Scarborough, who will compete with undrafted rookies Trey Ragas, and Bj Emmons. However I do believe the Raiders keep 4 backs this season with Jacobs, Drake, Scarborough and Richard all making the roster. Each back will serve a different role for the team.
You have Jacobs your bellcow back who will get the majority of the snaps, and likely see snaps with Drake also in the backfield.
Drake is more of a scat back and not really the bellcow type. I expect him to come in on passing downs and act as a 3rd down back and change of pace back.
Bo Scarborough is a 6'1 235 lb banger who will give you that short yardage back assuming you don't want to turn to FB Alec Ingold.
Jalen Richard is a 5'8 180 lb running back by trade who also returns kicks, and punts. His abilities as a receiver are what have kept him around for the Raiders year after year as he has caught as many as 61 passes in a season and honestly could easily move fulltime to receiver and not skip a beat, but when you average over 5 yards per carry, 8.5 yards per reception, over 20 yards per kick returns, and over 7 yards per punt return. you're likely going to continue to see touches.
The pass catchers have seen some turnover this offseason with Jason Witten and Theo Riddick deciding to retire, and Nelson Agholor now a Patriot. Also coming in is John Brown from Buffalo, Willie Snead from Baltimore, and Trey Quinn. However the Raiders are hoping last year's slot receiver and reception leader as far as wideouts Hunter Remfrow can build on his 2020 season, and that they see a huge leap from Bryan Edwards, and Henry Ruggs in 2021. Besides these 5 guys there is Zay Jones, Marcell Altman, Keelan Doss, Caleb Scott, and two undrafted rookies in Dillon Stoner and Dj Turner. Not the most elite group but one with plenty of potential.
At tight end Darren Waller is arguably a top 3 tight end in the NFL, and is more like a big wide receiver than he is a true tight end. His story still blows my mind, from being drafted in 2015 until the 2019 season Waller had 18 receptions for 178 yards and 2 tds, adding 1 carry for 21 yards, and 10 tackles. He signs with the Raiders plays in 4 games in 2018, then explodes in 2019 with 90 receptions, 1,145 yards and 3 tds, following it up with 107 receptions for 1,196 yards and 9 tds in 2020. Behind him is Foster Moreau a player Jon Gruden seems to love. After the retirement of Witten he is now the veteran backup to Waller with not much else behind him. Derek Carrier is the third tight end, and has hung around the Raiders for years now he primarily plays special teams with his best season coming in 2015 when he caught 17 passes in 12 games. He will compete with recently signed Alex Ellis a journeyman at best, who figures to be not much more than a camp body, Nick Bowers a former college backup who went undrafted in 2019 and was signed to the Raiders practice squad, as well as rookie free agent Matt Bushman who could be the dark horse of the group. The former BYU player had 3 straight years of 500+ yards in college prior to rupturing his Achilles early in his senior season. It's been nearly a calendar year since the injury occurred, can he regain his preinjury form? If so I would give him good odds of making this roster as the third tight end beating out Carrier. This guy managed stats that only Dennis Pitta, and Gordon Hudson had ever achieved for BYU before he arrived.
On the offensive line there has been an enormous amount of turnover. The Raiders spent the offseason dismantling their offensive line. They traded away Trent Brown, Gabe Jackson, and Rodney Hudson all 3 of which were starters in 2020. In the process they acquired a 3rd, 2 5th, and 2 7th round picks. Also lost was Sam Young who was signed earlier this offseason but decided to retire instead. However they did resign Kolton Miller, and Andre James to contract extensions shoring up left tackle and center. After earlier releasing Richie Incognito he was resigned to again start at guard, Denzel Good is expected to start opposite of Incognito after being signed away from Indy. At right tackle the Raiders spent a first round pick on Alex Leatherwood. The back ups are decent with 2018 3rd round pick Brandon Parker the backup left tackle, 2020 rookies 4th round pick John Simpson, and undrafted free agent Jaryd Jones-Smith add depth at LG, and RT respectively while Lester Cotton a 2019 UDFA man's the backup RG spot with free agent signee Nick Martin competing to hold off rookie 7th round pick Jimmy Moriessy for the number 2 center spot.