Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Wide Receivers Available for trade

I have touched on the Eagles' need to bring in a veteran receiver several times now but they still haven't gone after one. As of late we have been hearing rumors that the Eagles could legitimately keep Alshon Jeffery for one more year to lessen the cap hit in 2021 by trading him after the start of the 2021 league year or by designating him a post June 1st cut in 2021 which spreads the dead money between two seasons. Despite Philly dragging their feet there are still options out there for veterans if they decide that's still an option. 

Reports have come out that a certain speedy receiver from San Francisco is available for trade. That guy is Marquise Goodwin, a 29 year old wideout that stands 5'9 185 lbs. He has dealt with injuries the past two seasons, he still managed 20 games, 35 receptions for 581 yards, and 5 tds. An average of 16.6 yards per reception. Throughout his career he has shown a knack for producing big plays, his yards per reception average every season of his career with more than 2 receptions was 15.5 yards or more. He has The last 4 years he has had a 38 yard td, a 67 yard td, an 83 yard td, and an 84 yard td. Meanwhile in 2017, he snuck in a 1,000 yard season, with 56 receptions for 962 yards, 2 tds, and added 4 carries for 44 yards. He has lost quite a bit of trade value since 2017, but with the Eagles not having an idea when Jeffery will be back this season, having doubts about JJ Arcega-Whiteside and an often injured DeSean Jackson the number 1 target, there is definite value there for Philly. Bringing him in as an option in the slot to add another element of speed outside of Jackson would open this offense up. I would imagine Goodwin could be had for a 5th round pick due to his relative lack of production through two injury marred seasons in San Francisco, as well as his age. 

In Carolina Curtis Samuel might be available as well. They just signed Robbie Anderson and drafted DJ Moore. Samuel may be the odd man out, even though he was a starter for Carolina in 2019. The 5'11 195 lb receiver's stats have continued to rise year after year. In 2017 he had just 15 catches, 115 yards, adding 4 carries for 64 yards. In 2018 he caught 39 passes for 494 yards, 5 tds, adding 8 carries for 84 yards and 2 tds, but in 2019 he put it all together despite playing with Kyle Allen at qb. He played in 16 games, started 15 of them caught 54 passes for 627 yards, 6 tds, adding 19 carries for 130 yards and 1 td. He has obviously shown an ability to run the ball as well as catch it at a high rate. Plus he is only heading into his fourth season, this is a guy you acquire and mold your offense around as your first or second option. However he comes with a larger price tag. I would guess at a minimum you can expect to ship Carolina a 3rd round pick but it would likely require more than that. After acquiring him you will also need to sign him to an extension as he is headed into the last year of his deal. This is the exact reason why Carolina may be interested in trading him, and why the floor for that trade would be a 3rd. With Samuel being a guy who would in all likelihood get a large contract if he left in free agency, he would likely factor into the 2022 compensatory picks for a 3rd round pick. I like Samuels' skillset as a receiver that adds value in the run game, he could come in and be a number 1 receiver in Philly's offense, allowing them to really stretch defenses, while getting a long term starter at WR. They could play him on his current deal or sign him to an extension right away, either way it gives them a proven target for Wentz who is still young and has a high floor in the NFL. He may be the perfect candidate for a trade. I wouldn't be hurt if the team gave up a 2021 2nd round pick and a swap of mid round picks this year to get him. Maybe we give up a 5th for a 6th in return?

Wide receiver Brandin Cooks is a polarizing figure every other offseason it seems. He plays three years in New Orleans, starts to become unhappy and gets traded to New England. New England teams him with Brady, he went on to put up his third 1,000+ yard season, and 7 tds on 65 receptions. Boom next offseason he is traded again. New England had sent New Orleans a first round pick, and a 3rd round pick receiving a 4th and Cooks when they acquired him. Belichek and company turned around and flipped him to the Rams for a first round pick, and a 6th round pick also sending a 4th round pick to the Rams. Not a good return on their investment just a year prior. Now two seasons later I expect the Rams to again receive even less in return if they find a trade partner. While 2018 Saw Cooks help lead the Rams to the Super Bowl, 2019 wasn't so kind to team or player. He struggled with injuries in route to career lows in receptions, yards, and tds despite 14 starts. However the value again takes a hit when you consider he signed a 5 year $80 million extension with the Rams. Which will lead to cap hits of 16.8, 16.8, 17.2, and 17.8 over the life of this extension, and I doubt any team would give up valuable picks for this kind of cap hit after a down year without an inkling he would be willing to restructure or a belief he could bounce back in 2020. I could see a high return of a 2nd round pick, with a low of a conditional 3rd round pick based on performance.

There are reports out there that either of the top Browns receivers could be had in trade. Obviously those guys are Odell Beckham Jr., and Jarvis Landry. I don't believe that either receiver winds up moving on from the Browns. There are several reasons for this, first off these guys are former college teammates who were thrilled to play together again. While 2019 didn't pan out how either had imagined there is still hope for 2020. Both of them are 27 and were born in November so they are still young, and on expensive contracts but they are on a team that has the cap space to handle their contracts and still somehow walk into this offseason with over $60 million available. More importantly the smarter player to trade would be ODB, who holds higher value but you don't want to trade away an asset whose trade value has diminished to such an extent in one year. ODB cost the Browns an immense package to acquire, to give up on him after just one year, in which he still put up over 1,000 yards would require multiple draft picks and/or players to make sense for a very talented Browns team flush with cap space. If you take a look at how the Browns have operated this offseason they tried to further solidify their roster by bringing in talented free agents, and leading to the belief they are still in win now mode while they have a qb on a rookie deal. 

This next guy is purely speculation based on the lack of a contract extension heading into the last year of his rookie deal. Kenny Golladay is another November baby but is a year younger than ODB, and Landry. He also stands 6'3 215 lbs, ran a 4.50 40 yard dash, put up 18 reps in the bench press, and had a 35.5 inch vertical leap. He is also coming off of a career year, 65 receptions for 1,190 yards and 11 of his 19 career tds. That was his first year playing all 16 games. It resulted in his most tds, yards, and highest yards per reception. Golladay is heading into his fourth season and would cost a lot in a trade but honestly if Detroit asked for the 21st overall pick right now I would ask zero questions and take Golladay in a heart beat. He is a big play waiting to happen, and a true number one receiver. Something this offense has lacked since Jeffery came to town years ago. This would also require an extension but this is the type of guy you want to lock up long term anyway. His cost might actually be closer to what Minnesota got for Stefon Diggs from Buffalo. Minnesota fleeced Buffalo, getting their 2020 first, fifth, and sixth round picks, as well as a 2021 4th round pick and received Diggs and a 2020 7th round pick. Granted Diggs actually had a LOT more production before his trade than what Golladay currently has, but he also doesn't possess the size Golladay has. I am not sure if I would be okay giving up four draft picks for any player, but maybe our first this year, and a conditional third next season? 


After being connected with Robbie Anderson all offseason and then missing out on him, maybe it prompts them to go after Josh Reynolds, a poor man's Anderson. They have similar body types at 6'3 and around 190 lbs. Anderson ran much faster in the 40 but Reynolds showed better in agility drills. Reynolds has been basically buried on the depth chart with the Rams but after 3 years he has shown a penchant 61 receptions for 832 yards and 7 tds., and added 7 carries for 31 yards. However in college he was a three year starter at Texas A&M, and put up over 51 receptions, 840 yards +, and 5 tds. every season. He also spent one year in junior college where you guessed it he started and performed well. This is the perfect veteran receiver who would come cheap, a 5th round pick should do the trick. Reynolds would come in on the last year of his deal with very little leverage on an extension unless he came in and balled out. Which might be in the cards being that he has solid size and hands, and would likely get an immediate opportunity to play a lot in Philly as a number 2 option next to DeSean Jackson.

Rumor is that a guy like Allen Robinson another 6'2 220 lb receiver could be had via trade. He heads into 2020 on the last year of his deal, on a team that has major cap issues going forward. Keeping Robinson should be a priority but after recapturing his status as a solid number 1 receiver the value might be better for them to trade him now while they can. It's hard to believe but Robinson is just 26 years old still and headed into his 7th season. 2019 demonstrated how valuable he can be after he had 98 receptions for 1,147 yards and 7 tds. However a team could look at Robinson and argue he could be headed for a down year if you follow the trends of his career. He tends to have an insanely productive year followed by a much more pedestrian season in 2015 and 2016. Then in 2017 an injury that forced him to miss 15 games, comes back has a solid but not spectacular year, than comes back in 2019 and catches 98 passes and goes over 1,000 yards. It remains to be seen how he fares in 2020 but I would expect a minimum of 60 catches, 750 yards, and 5 tds. Solid numbers for a number 2 receiver but not what you would like from a number 1. He likely costs a conditional 4th round pick right now. 


No comments:

Post a Comment